Abstract
Understanding the relationship between habitat quality and population dynamics is fundamental for long-term management and range predictions in ecology. However, habitat quality is generally only investigated at the individual scale, as it is the case for the lesser horseshoe bat (Rhinolophus hipposideros), a species of conservation concern. Using a statistical modelling approach and census data of 94 lesser horseshoe bat colonies located in Brittany (France), we analysed the effect of landscape composition and configuration on the demographic components of surveyed maternity colonies (i.e. colony size, fecundity and growth rate), and compared our result to those provided by individual-based studies. Our results validated that the landscape in a 500-meter buffer around colonies (core foraging area) is crucial for population size and dynamics, and confirmed the positive influence of broadleaved woodland proportion on bat colony size. We revealed a positive effect of lakeshores and riverbanks on colony size and growth rate, underlying the importance of these habitats for the long-term conservation of this non-migratory forest species. Importantly, our results refine previous knowledge concerning the threat posed by the intensification of human activities (e.g. urbanization, agriculture, habitat fragmentation), and highlight the negative effect of large and regular patches of artificial and crop lands and of open land patches shape complexity on all demographic variables investigated. While our results support the dependence of population dynamics and associated conservation management to individual behaviour and sensitivity, environmental responses differed between the population metrics investigated, showing that efficient range prediction will require to fully grasp the complexity of the interaction between landscape and the different population dynamic parameters.