Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia

Anthony Cousien; Julia Ledien; Kimsan Souv; Rithea Leang; Rekol Huy; Didier Fontenille; Sowath Ly; Veasna Duong; Philippe Dussart; Patrice Piola; Simon Cauchemez; Arnaud Tarantola

doi:10.3201/eid2512.181193

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Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia

Anthony Cousien, Julia Ledien, Kimsan Souv, Rithea Leang, Rekol Huy, Didier Fontenille, Sowath Ly, Veasna Duong, Philippe Dussart, Patrice Piola, …

Emerging infectious diseases, Vol.25(12), pp.2281-2283

01/12/2019

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2512.181193

PMID: 31742509

Résumé

Immunology

Infectious Diseases

Life Sciences & Biomedicine

Science & Technology

In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May-October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospitals anticipate excess patients.

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Détails

Titre: Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia
Créateurs - sans rôle: Anthony Cousien - Inst Pasteur Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Julia Ledien - Inst Pasteur Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Kimsan Souv - Inst Pasteur Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Rithea Leang - Natl Ctr Entomol Parasitol & Malaria Control, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Rekol Huy - Natl Ctr Entomol Parasitol & Malaria Control, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Didier Fontenille - Inst Pasteur Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Sowath Ly - Inst Pasteur Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Veasna Duong - Inst Pasteur Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Philippe Dussart - Inst Pasteur Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Patrice Piola - Inst Pasteur Cambodge, Phnom Penh, Cambodia
Simon Cauchemez - Inst Pasteur, Paris, France
Arnaud Tarantola - Inst Pasteur, Noumea, New Caledonia
Détails de publication: Emerging infectious diseases, Vol.25(12), pp.2281-2283
Éditeur: Centers Disease Control & Prevention
Nombre de pages: 3
Note de subvention: Agence Francaise de Developpement (ECOMORE Project) ANR-10-LABX-62-IBEID / Laboratoire d'Excellence Integrative Biology of Emerging Infectious Diseases program Investissement d'Avenir program; French National Research Agency (ANR) Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study of the National Institute of General Medical Sciences AXA Research Fund
Identifiants: 99159075009311
Unité académique: Maladies Infectieuses et Vecteurs : Ecologie, Génétique, Evolution et Contrôle - MIVEGEC
Langue: English
Type de ressource: Journal article