Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

Martin J P Sullivan; Simon Lewis; Kofi Affum-Baffoe; Carolina Castilho; Flávia Costa; Aida Cuni Sanchez; Corneille Ewango; Wannes Hubau; Beatriz Marimon; Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza; Lan Qie; Bonaventure Sonke; Rodolfo Vasquez Martinez; Timothy Baker; Roel Brienen; Ted Feldpausch; David Galbraith; Manuel Gloor; Yadvinder Malhi; Shin-Ichiro Aiba; Miguel Alexiades; Everton Almeida; Edmar Almeida de Oliveira; Esteban Alvarez Davila; Patricia Alvarez Loayza; Ana Andrade; Simone Aparecida Vieira; Luiz Aragao; Alejandro Araujo-Murakami; Eric Arets; Luzmila Arroyo; Peter Ashton; Gerardo Aymard C.; Fabrício Baccaro; Lindsay Banin; Christopher Baraloto; Plínio Barbosa Camargo; Jos Barlow; Jorcely Barroso; Jean-Francois Bastin; Sarah Batterman; Hans Beeckman; Serge Begne; Amy Bennett; Erika Berenguer; Nicholas Berry; Lilian Blanc; Pascal Boeckx; Jan Bogaert; Damien Bonal; Frans Bongers; Matt Bradford; Francis Brearley; Terry Brncic; Foster Brown; Benoît Burban; José Luís Camargo; Wendeson Castro; Carlos Cerón; Sabina Cerruto Ribeiro; Victor Chama Moscoso; Jérôme Chave; Eric Chezeaux; Connie Clark; Fernanda Coelho de Souza; Murray Collins; James Comiskey; Fernando Cornejo Valverde; Massiel Corrales Medina; Lola da Costa; Martin Dančák; Greta Dargie; Stuart Davies; Nallaret Davila Cardozo; Thales de Haulleville; Marcelo Brilhante de Medeiros; Jhon del Aguila Pasquel; Géraldine Derroire; Anthony Di Fiore; Jean-Louis Doucet; Aurélie K. Dourdain; Vincent Droissart; Luisa Fernanda Duque; Romeo Ekoungoulou; Fernando Elias; Terry Erwin; Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert; Sophie Fauset; Joice Ferreira; Gerardo Flores Llampazo; Ernest Foli; Andrew Ford; Martin Gilpin; Jefferson Hall; Keith Hamer; Alan Hamilton; David Harris; Terese Hart; Radim Hédl; Bruno Hérault; Rafael Herrera; Niro Higuchi; Annette Hladik; Eurídice Honorio Coronado; Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco; Walter Huaraca Huasco; Kathryn Jeffery; Eliana Jimenez-Rojas; Michelle Kalamandeen; Marie Noël Kamdem Djuikouo; Elizabeth Kearsley; Ricardo Keichi Umetsu; Lip Khoon Kho; Timothy Killeen; Kanehiro Kitayama; Bente Klitgaard; Alexander Koch; Nicolas Labrière; William Laurance; Susan Laurance; Miguel Leal; Aurora Levesley; Adriano Lima; Janvier Lisingo; Aline Lopes; Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez; Tom Lovejoy; Jon Lovett; Richard K Lowe; William Magnusson; Jagoba Malumbres-Olarte; Ângelo Gilberto Manzatto; Ben Hur Marimon; Andrew M. Marshall; Toby Marthews; Simone Matias de Almeida Reis; Colin Maycock; Karina Melgaço; Casimiro Mendoza; Faizah Metali; Vianet Mihindou; William Milliken; Edward Mitchard; Paulo Morandi; Hannah Mossman; Laszlo Nagy; Henrique Nascimento; David Neill; Reuben Nilus; Percy Núñez Vargas; Walter Palacios; Nadir Pallqui Camacho; Julie Peacock; Colin Pendry; Maria Cristina Peñuela Mora; Georgia Pickavance; John Pipoly; Nigel Pitman; Maureen Playfair; Lourens Poorter; John Poulsen; Axel Dalberg Poulsen; Richard Preziosi; Adriana Prieto; Richard Primack; Hirma Ramirez-Angulo; Jan Reitsma; Maxime Réjou-Méchain; Zorayda Restrepo Correa; Thaiane Rodrigues de Sousa; Lily Rodriguez Bayona; Anand Roopsind; Agustín Rudas; Ervan Rutishauser; Kamariah Abu Salim; Rafael P Salomão; Juliana Schietti; Douglas Sheil; Richarlly Silva; Javier Silva Espejo; Camila Silva Valeria; Marcos Silveira; Murielle Simo-Droissart; Marcelo Fragomeni Simon; James Singh; Yahn Carlos Soto Shareva; Clement Stahl; Juliana Stropp; Rahayu Sukri; Terry Sunderland; Martin Svátek; Michael Swaine; Varun Swamy; Hermann Taedoumg; Joey Talbot; James Taplin; David Taylor; Hans ter Steege; John Terborgh; Raquel Thomas; Sean Thomas; Armando Torres-Lezama; Peter Umunay; Luis Valenzuela Gamarra; Geertje van Der Heijden; Peter van Der Hout; Peter van Der Meer; Mark van Nieuwstadt; Hans Verbeeck; Ronald Vernimmen; Alberto Vicentini; Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira; Emilio Vilanova Torre; Jason Vleminckx; Vincent Vos; Ophelia Wang; Lee White; Simon Willcock; John Woods; Verginia Wortel; Kenneth Young; Roderick Zagt; Lise Zemagho; Pieter Zuidema; Joeri Zwerts; Oliver Phillips

doi:10.1126/science.aaw7578

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Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

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Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests

Martin J P Sullivan, Simon Lewis, Kofi Affum-Baffoe, Carolina Castilho, Flávia Costa, Aida Cuni Sanchez, Corneille Ewango, Wannes Hubau, Beatriz Marimon, Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza, …

Science, Vol.368(6493), pp.869-874

21/05/2020

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw7578

Résumé

Climate change and forestry

Tropical forest carbon stocks

Tropical trees

The sensitivity of tropical forest carbon to climate is a key uncertainty in predicting global climate change. Although short-term drying and warming are known to affect forests, it is unknown if such effects translate into long-term responses. Here, we analyze 590 permanent plots measured across the tropics to derive the equilibrium climate controls on forest carbon. Maximum temperature is the most important predictor of aboveground biomass (−9.1 megagrams of carbon per hectare per degree Celsius), primarily by reducing woody productivity, and has a greater impact per °C in the hottest forests (>32.2°C). Our results nevertheless reveal greater thermal resilience than observations of short-term variation imply. To realize the long-term climate adaptation potential of tropical forests requires both protecting them and stabilizing Earth’s climate.

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Titre: Long-term thermal sensitivity of Earth’s tropical forests
Créateurs - sans rôle: Martin J P Sullivan - Manchester Metropolitan University
Simon Lewis - University College London
Kofi Affum-Baffoe - The Forestry Commission of Ghana
Carolina Castilho - Centro de Pesquisa Agroflorestal de Roraima
Flávia Costa
Aida Cuni Sanchez
Corneille Ewango
Wannes Hubau - Royal Museum for Central Africa
Beatriz Marimon
Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza - Missouri Botanical Garden
Lan Qie - University of Lincoln
Bonaventure Sonke - Université de Yaoundé I
Rodolfo Vasquez Martinez
Timothy Baker - University of Leeds
Roel Brienen - University of Leeds
Ted Feldpausch - University of Exeter
David Galbraith - University of Leeds
Manuel Gloor - University of Leeds
Yadvinder Malhi - University of Oxford
Shin-Ichiro Aiba - Hokkaido University
Miguel Alexiades - University of Kent
Everton Almeida
Edmar Almeida de Oliveira - Universidade Federal do Mato Grosso
Esteban Alvarez Davila - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Patricia Alvarez Loayza - Duke University
Ana Andrade - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia
Simone Aparecida Vieira - Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
Luiz Aragao - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais
Alejandro Araujo-Murakami - Museo de Historia Natural Noel Kempff Mercado
Eric Arets - Wageningen University and Research [Wageningen]
Luzmila Arroyo - Gabriel René Moreno Autonomous University
Peter Ashton - Harvard University
Gerardo Aymard C.
Fabrício Baccaro - Universidade Federal do Amazonas
Lindsay Banin
Christopher Baraloto - Florida International University
Plínio Barbosa Camargo - Universidade de São Paulo
Jos Barlow - Lancaster University
Jorcely Barroso - Universidade Federal do Acre
Jean-Francois Bastin - Plant
Sarah Batterman - Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies
Hans Beeckman - Royal Museum for Central Africa
Serge Begne - Université de Yaoundé I
Amy Bennett - University of Leeds
Erika Berenguer - University of Oxford
Nicholas Berry - Supreme Council Of Health
Lilian Blanc - Ecologie des Forêts de Guyane
Pascal Boeckx - Ghent University
Jan Bogaert - Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech
Damien Bonal - Silva
Frans Bongers - Wageningen University & Research
Matt Bradford - CSIRO Land and Water
Francis Brearley - Manchester Metropolitan University
Terry Brncic
Foster Brown - Woodwell Climate Research Center
Benoît Burban - Ecologie des Forêts de Guyane
José Luís Camargo - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia
Wendeson Castro - Universidade Federal do Acre
Carlos Cerón - Central University of Ecuador
Sabina Cerruto Ribeiro - Universidade Federal do Acre
Victor Chama Moscoso - Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco
Jérôme Chave - Evolution et Diversité Biologique
Eric Chezeaux - Rougier Gabon
Connie Clark - Duke University
Fernanda Coelho de Souza - University of Leeds
Murray Collins - University of Edinburgh
James Comiskey - National Park Service
Fernando Cornejo Valverde - Andes to Amazon Biodiversity Program
Massiel Corrales Medina - Universidad Nacional de San Agustin de Arequipa
Lola da Costa - Universidade Federal do Pará
Martin Dančák
Greta Dargie - University of Leeds
Stuart Davies - Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
Nallaret Davila Cardozo - Universidad Nacional de la Amazonía Peruana
Thales de Haulleville - Royal Museum for Central Africa
Marcelo Brilhante de Medeiros
Jhon del Aguila Pasquel - Instituto de Investigaciones de la Amazonía Peruana
Géraldine Derroire - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement
Anthony Di Fiore - The University of Texas at Austin
Jean-Louis Doucet - University of Liège
Aurélie K. Dourdain - Institut National de Recherche pour l'Agriculture, l'Alimentation et l'Environnement
Vincent Droissart - Université de Montpellier, BotAnique et Modélisation de l'Architecture des Plantes et des végétations - AMAP
Luisa Fernanda Duque
Romeo Ekoungoulou - Beijing Forestry University
Fernando Elias - Universidade Federal do Pará
Terry Erwin - National Museum of Natural History
Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert - University of Birmingham
Sophie Fauset - University of Plymouth
Joice Ferreira - Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation
Gerardo Flores Llampazo - Jorge Basadre Grohmann National University
Ernest Foli - The Forestry Commission of Ghana
Andrew Ford - CSIRO Land and Water
Martin Gilpin - University of Leeds
Jefferson Hall - Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
Keith Hamer - University of Leeds
Alan Hamilton
David Harris - Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh
Terese Hart - Yale Peabody Museum
Radim Hédl - Palacký University Olomouc
Bruno Hérault - Société de Développement des Forêts
Rafael Herrera
Niro Higuchi - Instituto Nacional de Pequisas da Amazônia
Annette Hladik - Éco-Anthropologie
Eurídice Honorio Coronado
Isau Huamantupa-Chuquimaco - Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco
Walter Huaraca Huasco
Kathryn Jeffery - Agence Nationale des Parcs Nationaux,
Eliana Jimenez-Rojas
Michelle Kalamandeen
Marie Noël Kamdem Djuikouo
Elizabeth Kearsley - Ghent University
Ricardo Keichi Umetsu
Lip Khoon Kho - Malaysian Palm Oil Board
Timothy Killeen
Kanehiro Kitayama - Kyoto University
Bente Klitgaard
Alexander Koch - Institute of Inorganic and Analytical Chemistry
Nicolas Labrière - AgroParisTech
William Laurance
Susan Laurance - James Cook University
Miguel Leal
Aurora Levesley
Adriano Lima
Janvier Lisingo
Aline Lopes
Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez - Supreme Council Of Health
Tom Lovejoy
Jon Lovett - University of Leeds
Richard K Lowe - Laboratoire d'étude de l'apprentissage et du développement
William Magnusson - Coordenac Bao de Pesquisas em Ecologia
Jagoba Malumbres-Olarte
Ângelo Gilberto Manzatto
Ben Hur Marimon - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso
Andrew M. Marshall - University of Mary Washington
Toby Marthews
Simone Matias de Almeida Reis
Colin Maycock
Karina Melgaço
Casimiro Mendoza - Chercheur indépendant
Faizah Metali
Vianet Mihindou
William Milliken - Royal Botanic Gardens [Kew]
Edward Mitchard
Paulo Morandi - Chercheur indépendant
Hannah Mossman
Laszlo Nagy - Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology
Henrique Nascimento - Instituto Superior Técnico
David Neill - Universidad Estatal Amazónica
Reuben Nilus - Forest Research
Percy Núñez Vargas - Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco
Walter Palacios
Nadir Pallqui Camacho
Julie Peacock - University of Leeds
Colin Pendry
Maria Cristina Peñuela Mora
Georgia Pickavance
John Pipoly
Nigel Pitman - Duke University
Maureen Playfair
Lourens Poorter - Forest Ecology and Forest Management Group
John Poulsen
Axel Dalberg Poulsen - Natural History Museum [Oslo]
Richard Preziosi
Adriana Prieto - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Richard Primack
Hirma Ramirez-Angulo - Chercheur indépendant
Jan Reitsma - Bur Waarderburg
Maxime Réjou-Méchain - Université de Montpellier, BotAnique et Modélisation de l'Architecture des Plantes et des végétations - AMAP
Zorayda Restrepo Correa
Thaiane Rodrigues de Sousa
Lily Rodriguez Bayona
Anand Roopsind - Iwokrama International Centre for Rainforest Conservation and Development
Agustín Rudas - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Ervan Rutishauser - Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute
Kamariah Abu Salim
Rafael P Salomão - Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi
Juliana Schietti - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia
Douglas Sheil - Center for International Forestry Research
Richarlly Silva
Javier Silva Espejo - Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco
Camila Silva Valeria
Marcos Silveira - Universidade Federal do Acre
Murielle Simo-Droissart - Université de Yaoundé I
Marcelo Fragomeni Simon
James Singh
Yahn Carlos Soto Shareva
Clement Stahl - Ecologie des Forêts de Guyane
Juliana Stropp - JRC Institute for Environment and Sustainability
Rahayu Sukri
Terry Sunderland - Center for International Forestry Research
Martin Svátek
Michael Swaine - Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, School of Biological Sciences
Varun Swamy
Hermann Taedoumg - Plant
Joey Talbot - Supreme Council Of Health
James Taplin
David Taylor - Department of Neurology
Hans ter Steege - Naturalis Biodiversity Center
John Terborgh - Division of Marine Science and Conservation, Nicholas School of the Environment
Raquel Thomas
Sean Thomas
Armando Torres-Lezama - Instituto de Investigaciones para el Desarrollo Forestal
Peter Umunay
Luis Valenzuela Gamarra - Missouri Botanical Garden
Geertje van Der Heijden - University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee
Peter van Der Hout - Van der Hout Forestry Consulting
Peter van Der Meer - University Medical Center Groningen
Mark van Nieuwstadt
Hans Verbeeck - Computational & Applied Vegetation Ecology
Ronald Vernimmen
Alberto Vicentini
Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira - Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi
Emilio Vilanova Torre - Universidad de los Andes [Bogota]
Jason Vleminckx - Department of Integrative Biology [Berkeley]
Vincent Vos
Ophelia Wang - Supreme Council Of Health
Lee White - University of Stirling
Simon Willcock - Biol Sci
John Woods
Verginia Wortel - Biodiversity Department
Kenneth Young
Roderick Zagt
Lise Zemagho - Plant
Pieter Zuidema
Joeri Zwerts
Oliver Phillips
Détails de publication: Science, Vol.368(6493), pp.869-874
Identifiants: 99161187209311
Unité académique: BotAnique et Modélisation de l'Architecture des Plantes et des végétations - AMAP
Langue: English
Type de ressource: Journal article
Champs locaux: hal-02650649