Résumé
The negative consequences of lead shot ingestion have been demonstrated in captive birds, and the prevalence of embedded shot has been measured in wild waterfowl several times. However, the long-term consequences of these two indirect outcomes of hunting on waterfowl survival have merely been investigated. Using data from about 40,000 X-rayed teals (
Anas crecca), this study attempts to evaluate these effects. We used multivariate logistic regressions to model the probability of carrying shot in the flesh or in the gizzard while testing for various explanatory variables such as sex, age, time or morphological measures like mass and flattened wing length. Because of technical issues, we used a non-parametric sign test rather than a complete capture-recapture analysis to evaluate the effect of shot on teal survival. This test was applied to the differences in time between ringing and recovery for lead categories (no lead shot, ⩾1 shot in the flesh but none in the gizzard, ⩾1 shot in the gizzard but none in the flesh) compared two by two. We show that, overall, males are more likely to carry embedded shot than females whereas the latter are more likely to carry lead pellets in the gizzard. Similarly, adults are more likely to carry shot in the flesh whereas first year individuals are more likely to have pellets in the gizzard. Embedded shot tend to accumulate in the ducks body over time, i.e. with the number of encounters with hunters, with no significant effect on survival. Conversely, the probability of carrying shot in the gizzard decreases over time, because lead-poisoning quickly leads the individual to death. Several possible biological interpretations are put forward to explain those results. This study demonstrates that negative impacts of ingested lead on teal survival arise after only one single pellet is ingested, advocating the ban of lead ammunition.