Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change

Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert; Timothy R Baker; Kyle G Dexter; Simon L Lewis; Roel Brienen; Ted R Feldpausch; Jon Lloyd; Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza; Luzmila Arroyo; Esteban Alvarez-Davila; Niro Higuchi; Beatriz Marimon; Ben Hur Marimon; Marcos Silveira; Emilio Vilanova; Emanuel Gloor; Yadvinder Malhi; Jerôme Chave; Jos Barlow; Damien Bonal; Nallaret Davila Cardozo; Terry Erwin; Sophie Fauset; Bruno Hérault; Susan Laurance; Lourens Poorter; Lan Qie; Clement Stahl; Martin Sullivan; Hans ter Steege; Vincent Antoine Vos; Pieter A Zuidema; Everton Almeida; Edmar Almeida de Oliveira; Ana Andrade; Simone Aparecida Vieira; Luiz Aragão; Alejandro Araujo-Murakami; Eric Arets; Gerardo A Aymard; Christopher Baraloto; Plinio Barbosa Camargo; Jorcely G Barroso; Frans Bongers; Rene Boot; José Luís Camargo; Wendeson Castro; Victor Chama Moscoso; James Comiskey; Fernando Cornejo Valverde; Antonio Carlos Lola da Costa; Jhon del Aguila Pasquel; Anthony Di Fiore; Luisa Fernanda Duque; Fernando Elias; Julien Engel; David Galbraith; Rafael Herrera Fernández; Eurídice Honorio Coronado; Wannes Hubau; Eliana Jimenez-Rojas; Adriano José Nogueira Lima; Ricardo Keichi Umetsu; William Laurance; Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez; Thomas Lovejoy; Omar Aurelio Melo Cruz; Paulo S Morandi; David Neill; Percy Núñez Vargas; Nadir C. Pallqui Camacho; Alexander Parada Gutierrez; Guido Pardo; Julie Peacock; Marielos Peña‐claros; Maria Cristina Peñuela‐mora; Pascal Petronelli; Georgia C Pickavance; Nigel Pitman; Adriana Prieto; Carlos Quesada; Hirma Ramírez-Angulo; Maxime Réjou-Méchain; Zorayda Restrepo Correa; Anand Roopsind; Agustín Rudas; Natalino Silva; Javier Silva Espejo; James Singh; Juliana Stropp; John Terborgh; Raquel Thomas; Marisol Toledo; Armando Torres-Lezama; Luis Valenzuela Gamarra; Peter J. van de Meer; Geertje van Der Heijden; Peter van Der Hout; Rodolfo Vasquez Martinez; Cesar Vela; Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira; Oliver L. Phillips

doi:10.1111/gcb.14413

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Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change

Journal article

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Peer reviewed

Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change

Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert, Timothy R Baker, Kyle G Dexter, Simon L Lewis, Roel Brienen, Ted R Feldpausch, Jon Lloyd, Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza, Luzmila Arroyo, Esteban Alvarez-Davila, …

Global Change Biology, Vol.25(1), pp.39-56

2019

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14413

PMID: 30406962

Abstract

Tropical forests

Compositional shifts

Climatic change

Temporal trends

Bioclimatic niches

Functional traits

forêt tropicale humide

changement climatique

Most of the planet's diversity is concentrated in the tropics, which includes many regions undergoing rapid climate change. Yet, while climate-induced biodiversity changes are widely documented elsewhere, few studies have addressed this issue for lowland tropical ecosystems. Here we investigate whether the floristic and functional composition of intact lowland Amazonian forests have been changing by evaluating records from 106 long-term inventory plots spanning 30 years. We analyse three traits that have been hypothesized to respond to different environmental drivers (increase in moisture stress and atmospheric CO2 concentrations): maximum tree size, biogeographic water-deficit affiliation and wood density. Tree communities have become increasingly dominated by large-statured taxa, but to date there has been no detectable change in mean wood density or water deficit affiliation at the community level, despite most forest plots having experienced an intensification of the dry season. However, among newly recruited trees, dry-affiliated genera have become more abundant, while the mortality of wet-affiliated genera has increased in those plots where the dry season has intensified most. Thus, a slow shift to a more dry-affiliated Amazonia is underway, with changes in compositional dynamics (recruits and mortality) consistent with climate-change drivers, but yet to significantly impact whole-community composition. The Amazon observational record suggests that the increase in atmospheric CO2 is driving a shift within tree communities to large-statured species and that climate changes to date will impact forest composition, but long generation times of tropical trees mean that biodiversity change is lagging behind climate change.

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Title: Compositional response of Amazon forests to climate change
Creators - without role: Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert - University of Leeds
Timothy R Baker - University of Leeds
Kyle G Dexter - Royal Botanic Garden Edinburgh
Simon L Lewis - University College London
Roel Brienen - University of Leeds
Ted R Feldpausch - University of Exeter
Jon Lloyd - Imperial College London
Abel Monteagudo-Mendoza - National University of Saint Anthony the Abbot in Cuzco
Luzmila Arroyo - Gabriel René Moreno Autonomous University
Esteban Alvarez-Davila - Universidad Nacional Abierta y a Distancia
Niro Higuchi - National Institute of Amazonian Research
Beatriz Marimon - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso
Ben Hur Marimon - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso
Marcos Silveira - Universidade Federal do Acre
Emilio Vilanova - University of Washington
Emanuel Gloor - University of Leeds
Yadvinder Malhi - University of Oxford
Jerôme Chave - Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier
Jos Barlow - Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi
Damien Bonal - Silva
Nallaret Davila Cardozo
Terry Erwin - Smithsonian Institution
Sophie Fauset - University of Leeds
Bruno Hérault - Forests and Societies
Susan Laurance
Lourens Poorter - Wageningen University & Research
Lan Qie - Imperial College London
Clement Stahl - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement
Martin Sullivan
Hans ter Steege - Naturalis Biodiversity Center
Vincent Antoine Vos - Universidad Autónoma del Beni
Pieter A Zuidema - Wageningen University & Research
Everton Almeida
Edmar Almeida de Oliveira
Ana Andrade - National Institute of Amazonian Research
Simone Aparecida Vieira
Luiz Aragão
Alejandro Araujo-Murakami - Museo de Historia Natural Noel Kempff Mercado
Eric Arets
Gerardo A Aymard
Christopher Baraloto - Florida International University
Plinio Barbosa Camargo
Jorcely G Barroso - Universidade Federal do Acre
Frans Bongers - Wageningen University & Research
Rene Boot - Utrecht University
José Luís Camargo - National Institute of Amazonian Research
Wendeson Castro - Universidade Federal do Acre
Victor Chama Moscoso
James Comiskey - National Park Service
Fernando Cornejo Valverde
Antonio Carlos Lola da Costa
Jhon del Aguila Pasquel - Michigan Technological University
Anthony Di Fiore - The University of Texas at Austin
Luisa Fernanda Duque - Universidad Nacional Abierta y a Distancia
Fernando Elias - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso
Julien Engel - Université de Montpellier, BotAnique et Modélisation de l'Architecture des Plantes et des végétations - AMAP
David Galbraith - University of Leeds
Rafael Herrera Fernández
Eurídice Honorio Coronado
Wannes Hubau - Royal Museum for Central Africa
Eliana Jimenez-Rojas
Adriano José Nogueira Lima
Ricardo Keichi Umetsu - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso
William Laurance - James Cook University
Gabriela Lopez-Gonzalez - University of Leeds
Thomas Lovejoy - George Mason University
Omar Aurelio Melo Cruz
Paulo S Morandi - Universidade do Estado de Mato Grosso
David Neill - Universidad Estatal Amazónica
Percy Núñez Vargas
Nadir C. Pallqui Camacho
Alexander Parada Gutierrez
Guido Pardo - Universidad Autónoma del Beni
Julie Peacock - University of Leeds
Marielos Peña‐claros - Wageningen University & Research
Maria Cristina Peñuela‐mora
Pascal Petronelli - Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement
Georgia C Pickavance - University of Leeds
Nigel Pitman
Adriana Prieto - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Carlos Quesada - National Institute of Amazonian Research
Hirma Ramírez-Angulo - University of the Andes
Maxime Réjou-Méchain - Laboratoire Evolution et Diversite Biologique
Zorayda Restrepo Correa
Anand Roopsind - Iwokrama International Centre for Rainforest Conservation and Development
Agustín Rudas - Universidad Nacional de Colombia
Natalino Silva - Instituto Florestal
Javier Silva Espejo
James Singh - Guyana Forestry Commission
Juliana Stropp - Universidade Federal de Alagoas
John Terborgh - Duke University
Raquel Thomas - Iwokrama International Centre for Rainforest Conservation and Development
Marisol Toledo - Gabriel René Moreno Autonomous University
Armando Torres-Lezama - University of the Andes
Luis Valenzuela Gamarra
Peter J. van de Meer - Van Hall Larenstein University of Applied Sciences
Geertje van Der Heijden - University of Nottingham
Peter van Der Hout - Van der Hout Forestry Consulting
Rodolfo Vasquez Martinez
Cesar Vela
Ima Célia Guimarães Vieira
Oliver L. Phillips - University of Leeds
Publication Details: Global Change Biology, Vol.25(1), pp.39-56
Identifiers: 9938364009311
Academic Unit: BotAnique et Modélisation de l'Architecture des Plantes et des végétations - AMAP
Language: English
Resource Type: Journal article
Local Fields: hal-02052715