Résumé
Objective To define the association between change in body mass index (BMI) and the incidence and progression of the structural defects of knee osteoarthritis as assessed by radiography. Methods Radiographic analyses of knees at baseline and at 4–5 years of follow‐up were obtained from the following 3 independent cohort studies: the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) study, the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST), and the Cohort Hip and Cohort Knee (CHECK) study. Logistic regression analyses using generalized estimating equations, with clustering of both knees within individuals, were used to investigate the association between change in BMI from baseline to 4–5 years of follow‐up and the incidence and progression of knee osteoarthritis. Results A total of 9,683 knees (from 5,774 participants) in an “incidence cohort” and 6,075 knees (from 3,988 participants) in a “progression cohort” were investigated. Change in BMI was positively associated with both the incidence and progression of the structural defects of knee osteoarthritis. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for osteoarthritis incidence was 1.05 (95% confidence interval [95% CI] 1.02–1.09), and the adjusted OR for osteoarthritis progression was 1.05 (95% CI 1.01–1.09). Change in BMI was also positively associated with degeneration (i.e., narrowing) of the joint space and with degeneration of the femoral and tibial surfaces (as indicated by osteophytes) on the medial but not on the lateral side of the knee. Conclusion A decrease in BMI was independently associated with lower odds of incidence and progression of the structural defects of knee osteoarthritis and could be a component in preventing the onset or worsening of knee osteoarthritis.