Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient

Viktoriia Radchuk; Thomas Reed; Céline Teplitsky; Martijn van de Pol; Anne Charmantier; Christopher Hassall; Peter Adamik; Frank Adriaensen; Markus Ahola; Peter Arcese; Jesús Miguel Avilés; Javier Balbontin; Karl Berg; Antoni Borras; Sarah Burthe; Jean Clobert; Nina Dehnhard; Florentino de Lope; André Dhondt; Niels Dingemanse; Hideyuki Doi; Tapio Eeva; Joerns Fickel; Iolanda Filella; Frode Fossøy; Anne Goodenough; Stephen J.G. Hall; Bengt Hansson; Michael Harris; Dennis Hasselquist; Thomas Hickler; Jasmin Joshi; Heather Kharouba; Juan Gabriel Martínez; Jean-Baptiste Mihoub; James Mills; Mercedes Molina-Morales; Arne Moksnes; Arpat Ozgul; Deseada Parejo; Philippe Pilard; Maud Poisbleau; François Rousset; Mark-Oliver Rödel; David Scott; Juan Carlos Senar; Constantí Stefanescu; Bård Stokke; Tamotsu Kusano; Maja Tarka; Corey Tarwater; Kirsten Thonicke; Jack Thorley; Andreas Wilting; Piotr Tryjanowski; Juha Merilä; Ben Sheldon; Anders Pape Møller; Erik Matthysen; Fredric Janzen; F. Stephen Dobson; Marcel Visser; Steven Beissinger; Alexandre Courtiol; Stephanie Kramer-Schadt

doi:10.1038/s41467-019-10924-4

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Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient

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Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient

Viktoriia Radchuk, Thomas Reed, Céline Teplitsky, Martijn van de Pol, Anne Charmantier, Christopher Hassall, Peter Adamik, Frank Adriaensen, Markus Ahola, Peter Arcese, …

Nature Communications, Vol.10(1)

2019

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10924-4

Abstract

Climate-change ecology

Conservation biology

Evolutionary ecology

Biological responses to climate change have been widely documented across taxa and regions, but it remains unclear whether species are maintaining a good match between phenotype and environment, i.e. whether observed trait changes are adaptive. Here we reviewed 10,090 abstracts and extracted data from 71 studies reported in 58 relevant publications , to assess quantitatively whether phenotypic trait changes associated with climate change are adaptive in animals. A meta-analysis focussing on birds, the taxon best represented in our dataset, suggests that global warming has not systematically affected morphological traits, but has advanced phenological traits. We demonstrate that these advances are adaptive for some species, but imperfect as evidenced by the observed consistent selection for earlier timing. Application of a theoretical model indicates that the evolutionary load imposed by incomplete adaptive responses to ongoing climate change may already be threatening the persistence of species.

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Title: Adaptive responses of animals to climate change are most likely insufficient
Creators - without role: Viktoriia Radchuk - Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research
Thomas Reed - University College Cork
Céline Teplitsky - Université de Montpellier, Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive - CEFE
Martijn van de Pol - Netherlands Institute of Ecology
Anne Charmantier - Université de Montpellier, Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive - CEFE
Christopher Hassall - University of Leeds
Peter Adamik - Palacký University Olomouc
Frank Adriaensen - University of Antwerp
Markus Ahola - Swedish Museum of Natural History
Peter Arcese - Department of Forest and Conservation Sciences
Jesús Miguel Avilés - Estacion Experimental de Zonas Aridas
Javier Balbontin - Universidad de Sevilla
Karl Berg - The University of Texas Rio Grande Valley
Antoni Borras - Natural Science Museum of Barcelona
Sarah Burthe - UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Jean Clobert - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique
Nina Dehnhard - University of Antwerp
Florentino de Lope - Universidad de Extremadura
André Dhondt - Cornell University
Niels Dingemanse - Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
Hideyuki Doi - University of Hyogo
Tapio Eeva - University of Turku
Joerns Fickel - University of Potsdam
Iolanda Filella - Centre for Research on Ecology and Forestry Applications
Frode Fossøy - Norwegian Institute for Nature Research
Anne Goodenough - University of Gloucestershire
Stephen J.G. Hall - Estonian University of Life Sciences
Bengt Hansson - Lund University
Michael Harris - UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Dennis Hasselquist - Lund University
Thomas Hickler - Senckenberg Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre
Jasmin Joshi - University of Applied Sciences Rapperswil
Heather Kharouba - University of Ottawa
Juan Gabriel Martínez - Universidad de Granada
Jean-Baptiste Mihoub - Centre d'Écologie et des Sciences de la Conservation
James Mills - Corning
Mercedes Molina-Morales - Universidad de Extremadura
Arne Moksnes - Global Ecology Unit CREAF-CSIC-UAB
Arpat Ozgul - University of Zurich
Deseada Parejo - Universidad de Extremadura
Philippe Pilard - Alpha MOS
Maud Poisbleau - University of Antwerp
François Rousset - Université de Montpellier, Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution - Montpellier - ISEM
Mark-Oliver Rödel - Museum für Naturkunde
David Scott - University of Georgia
Juan Carlos Senar - Natural Science Museum of Barcelona
Constantí Stefanescu - Centre for Research on Ecology and Forestry Applications
Bård Stokke - Centre for Research on Ecology and Forestry Applications
Tamotsu Kusano - Tokyo Metropolitan University
Maja Tarka - Lund University
Corey Tarwater - University of Wyoming
Kirsten Thonicke - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Jack Thorley - Imperial College London
Andreas Wilting - Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research
Piotr Tryjanowski - University of Life Sciences in Poznań
Juha Merilä - University of Helsinki
Ben Sheldon - University of Oxford
Anders Pape Møller - Écologie, Systématique et Évolution
Erik Matthysen - University of Antwerp
Fredric Janzen - Iowa State University
F. Stephen Dobson - Auburn University
Marcel Visser - Netherlands Institute of Ecology
Steven Beissinger - Museum of Vertebrate Zoology
Alexandre Courtiol - Leibniz Institute for Zoo and Wildlife Research
Stephanie Kramer-Schadt - Technische Universität Berlin
Publication Details: Nature Communications, Vol.10(1)
Identifiers: 9964214709311
Academic Unit: Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive - CEFE; Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution - Montpellier - ISEM
Language: English
Resource Type: Journal article
Local Fields: hal-02290363